“Conspiracy theories are just spoiler alerts these days.”
I've found officers and civilians have *generally* had a very good idea of how many rounds they fired, say +/- 2. Even in running gunfights with multiple locations (I fired about 2 here, moved there and fired 3 more sort of statements) There are outliers, but I think that group would be even larger if people thought ahead of time it's something they should do. Then it's not a decision in real time, it's a pre-planned action.
I think the "number of good actors" is by far the biggest factor. Criminals tending to try to isolate a victim means fewer bystanders to hit, for example.
That is correct. Often at a fleeing suspect or a downed suspect. Pawn shop owner who shoots a shit ton into a fleeing car sort of thing, or officer mag dumping at a suspect with partial cover who he has little to no chance of hitting at the speed he's shooting at.
I think it has to be context dependent, given untrained to semi-trained is a rather large gamut. Do you have someone who gets 16 hours of training a year and has access to non-shooting refresher/online course work a couple more hours? Someone getting a permit who'll take 4 hours of classroom and 15 rounds of live fire in a lifetime? A conversation with your cousin who just bought a gun due to violence in the neighborhood but will *never* practice? It could range from a thought exercise to prime someone's thinking to realistic force on force with pain feedback. I think there's probably multiple ways to skin the cat and I'm very interested in people's ideas that aren't "make them git gud".
Sorta around sometimes for some of your shitty mod needs.
+/-2 isn't very confidence inspiring for a possible policy and/or legal standard that would require 2 shots to be fired before a reassessment, nor is "generally".
I'm not willing to bet the financial security of me/mine, nor my status of incarceration, on those odds. If we had LEOs that could, we wouldn't be having a conversation about LEOs mag dumping wildly into the air and missing all their shots because of their gross incompetence and inability of cheesedick police management to support proper training.
"Are you ready? Okay. Let's roll."- Last words of Todd Beamer
Cutting ammo / mag capacity to keep people from their own poor judgment is a slippery slope of hardware solutions to software problems.
I think that’s where the national gun laws are going, but as someone who practices I am not thrilled by being kneecapped by the lowest common denominators.
But I’m aware “if it saves one life…”
Like 25 mph residential speed limits.
That’s the cynic in me.
My question then is: if a several-second pause that requires the user to be taken off the task of shooting and then reacquire the target isn’t sufficient to prevent them from continuing to go cyclic at stuff they cannot or should not shoot, why is a brief dip to low ready (or whatever is taught as the pause) going to achieve that goal?
I don’t necessarily disagree with what you wrote in the OP, particularly versus consistently training to “shoot them to the ground.” I am concerned that, much like the transition to the head in the failure drill has become somewhat automated (versus Gunsite’s original teaching of returning to guard, assessing, and delivering a headshot if necessary), so too would this brief assessment pause. If a reload is insufficient to make somebody snap out of the mindset of “I must continue applying force,” I am wondering why this would work. I think it could work, but it would need to be combined with some sort of drill that forces assessment during those assessment pauses.
I'll just make the point for the people who don't train... a reload may not give them a mental break, it's probably MORE cognitive loading and just blanks their brain as they fumble with the mag and try and jam it in....
I've seen that a lot from C/D class shooters... they'll hose on a small steel or a Texas Star, reload and keep hosing without missing a beat (but continuing to miss the target).
Actually, it is.
I have a right to respectfully voice why this is a bad idea, present what I think is a better idea, and explain why, which I've done. You've responded by stating a statistical variance in accuracy which is as big or bigger in the capability of humans to adhere to your idea, which pretty much proves the point on its own that it's seriously flawed and, if implemented, will result in people getting jammed up on an artificial and capricious policy and/or legal standard that is highly dubious for people to execute with reliability, which is why there's a current legal precedent that accounts for human cognitive limits.
If that chafes you, sorry, but I had something to say with relevance to the conversation and I said it. I'm not going to argue back and forth with you about it from here, I'm done, but this isn't your unit and you don't get to decide who gets a say just because you don't like what is being said.
"Are you ready? Okay. Let's roll."- Last words of Todd Beamer