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Thread: Tornado Season 2023

  1. #11
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    And SPC upgraded to a high Risk for areas in Illinois Iowa and Missouri as well as another high risk the Memphi area in Tennessee, Northern Mississippi and southeast Arkansas. FWIW SPC hasn’t issued a high risk outlook since March 2021.

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  2. #12
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    Quote Originally Posted by Caballoflaco View Post
    And SPC upgraded to a high Risk for areas in Illinois Iowa and Missouri as well as another high risk the Memphi area in Tennessee, Northern Mississippi and southeast Arkansas. FWIW SPC hasn’t issued a high risk outlook since March 2021.
    The text of these discussions....

    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2023/md0390.html
    SUMMARY...Portions of the Moderate Risk over southeastern IA,
    northwestern IL, and far northeastern MO will be upgraded to a
    categorical High Risk in the 1630 UTC Convective outlook.

    DISCUSSION...An upgrade to a tornado-driven High Risk (30%
    probability) is expected for the 1630 UTC outlook. Environmental
    conditions are quickly becoming favorable to support the potential
    for numerous strong to potentially violent and long-track tornadoes

    across portions of southeastern IA, northwestern IL, and far
    northeastern MO. Please see the forthcoming Day 1 outlook update for
    more information.
    Similar discussion for 392
    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2023/md0392.html
    SUMMARY...Portions of the Moderate Risk area over eastern AR,
    southwestern TN, and northern MS will be upgraded to a categorical
    High Risk in the 1630 UTC Convective outlook.
    "No free man shall ever be debarred the use of arms." - Thomas Jefferson, Virginia Constitution, Draft 1, 1776

  3. #13
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    FWIW there’s already a tornado warned storm headed towards Little Rock with really nothing atmospherically to slow it down.

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  4. #14
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    NWS has issued PDS TOR Watches (Particularly Dangerous Situation) for both of those areas.... PDS's are rare.
    Folks in the area should have a plan and remain weather aware..

    Most of Iowa
    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0093.html
    Central and Eastern Iowa
    Western Illinois
    Northern and Central Missouri
    Southwest Wisconsin


    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0094.html
    Much of Arkansas
    Southern Illinois
    Western Kentucky
    Southern Missouri
    Northwest Mississippi
    West Tennessee
    Northeast Texas

    Primary threats include...
    Numerous tornadoes expected with a few intense tornadoes likely
    Widespread large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
    inches in diameter likely
    Widespread damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
    "No free man shall ever be debarred the use of arms." - Thomas Jefferson, Virginia Constitution, Draft 1, 1776

  5. #15
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    Currently a large tornado on the ground in Little Rock.

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    Eta: https://twitter.com/@twitter/status/1641887036872294406
    Last edited by Caballoflaco; 03-31-2023 at 02:43 PM.

  6. #16
    Site Supporter HeavyDuty's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Trooper224 View Post
    Storm chasers? As an old road cop, I have absolutely no use for them.
    I agree. I did twenty years in county emergency management where we were the designated spotters for our jurisdiction and went direct into NWS. We generally had fixed, preplanned posts with only supervisors moving. The damn chaser yahoos were a peril.
    Ken

    BBI: ...”you better not forget the safe word because shit's about to get weird”...
    revchuck38: ...”mo' ammo is mo' betta' unless you're swimming or on fire.”

  7. #17
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    Quote Originally Posted by HeavyDuty View Post
    I agree. I did twenty years in county emergency management where we were the designated spotters for our jurisdiction and went direct into NWS. We generally had fixed, preplanned posts with only supervisors moving. The damn chaser yahoos were a peril.

    The last time I went it was embarrassing. While it was fun, there were just too many people, and some of the driving was absurd.


    A couple of times I went it wasn’t bad at all. One time, probably 15 years ago now, my buddy and I chased in the Abilene area. It was not the best chase ever, but it was the least busy. Hardly saw anyone else out there. I remember seeing one OU (I think) weather team.


    My buddy and I caught a perfect view of a storm headed right for us, on a back road with no traffic. That was a “neat” experience.


    I wish storm chasing had as many followers as DA/SA or DAO guns with manual safeties. Then it might still be fun to go. Now? Not worth it.

  8. #18
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheNewbie View Post
    I wish storm chasing had as many followers as DA/SA or DAO guns with manual safeties. Then it might still be fun to go. Now? Not worth it.
    IMO, if I'm storm spotting, I want to have a handful of trained, sane people to work with. Not a bunch of yee-haw adrenaline junkies risking their lives and mine driving like ass. YMMV, it seems.

    Have you looked up your local RACES organization? I'm certain NWS would appreciate involvement from responsible organized people. They certainly do here.

    https://www.tdem.texas.gov/response/races
    "No free man shall ever be debarred the use of arms." - Thomas Jefferson, Virginia Constitution, Draft 1, 1776

  9. #19
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    Quote Originally Posted by RoyGBiv View Post
    IMO, if I'm storm spotting, I want to have a handful of trained, sane people to work with. Not a bunch of yee-haw adrenaline junkies risking their lives and mine driving like ass. YMMV, it seems.

    Have you looked up your local RACES organization? I'm certain NWS would appreciate involvement from responsible organized people. They certainly do here.

    https://www.tdem.texas.gov/response/races

    I agree with you on the driving. While I do enjoy the adrenaline, it’s not something I want to do at the risk of others. It’s why I almost never chased alone, and never “road trip chased” alone. It’s not the storms that would stop me from chasing again, it’s the chasers.


    The storms were only part of the experience for me. However, I accept the criticism of the chaser world as more valid than not.


    Storm spotting is different, and I appreciate the work spotters do.



    Now my adrenaline is focused on making sure I can fit mowing the pasture into my schedule.

  10. #20
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    From Little Rock AR yesterday. Second video shows a lady get pulled out a door as she’s trying to film the tornado, but her husband pulls her back in. Don’t worry though, I’m sure Darwin will catch up with her again.

    https://twitter.com/@twitter/status/1642282405208768513

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