I think that timelline is a bit optimistic considering the small amount of Russian soldiers who were issued full ratnik kit befre when they invaded Ukraine and that it’s possible they’ll still be fighting there in 2025.
But, as you mentioned, I think one of the biggest takeaways of the current war is that good sensors and weapons of 60mm and above that go up, come down and explode are far more important in a large scale near peer conflict than small arms.