This is always the way it’s done doesn’t mean it’s always the right answer. How many kids were still alive in that classroom once it was all over? I haven’t seen that number released but I assume you know. Granted the officers couldn’t know at the time, but a reasonable assumption should’ve been many are dead, most living are wounded and bleeding out. How likely is the one officer who has the balls to go in to make that situation worse? After the amount of rounds fired and length of inactive time, a reasonable assumption should have been “not likely” because it probably can’t get too much worse.
I don’t think you ever contradicted my point about your Leeroy examples. All of the ones you cited ending in failure were met with similar sized or larger force and often some type of prepared defense. It’s possible psycho murder brought makeshift ballistic barricades but unlikely. So reasonable bet that it’d be one psycho asshole vs one adrenaline filled emotionally distraught cop. I’d take those odds. Especially if even one more cop grows a pair and follows the number one man.
That’s the problem with this debate though. Everyone who is saying that he shouldn’t have been allowed to go in, probably wouldn’t have been contributing to the overall issue of inaction in the first place. But given the actual situation, where nobody is solving the problem, if we assume that regular beat cop Joe isn’t changing the whole ICS/CoC (whatever LE terms that I don’t know) structure and taking over to send a team in, maybe that same beat cop Joe could’ve helped the husband slip past the other inactive cops and let him go. Shit maybe even go second.
What if he did, and his wife didn’t bleed out because of it? Or any other victim? I get how that may play out for him and it’s likely shitty on either end, but him not being allowed to enter resulted in very bad things because it’s not like they pulled him and then immediately made entry.
Honestly this is a big part of why I’d never want to be in LE so I understand how it looks arguing that the guy should’ve been able to smoke a potentially surrendering suspect and face criminal charges for that. Super MMQB. But I have to believe that he would’ve preferred doing that and his wife maybe living then every day for the rest of his life knowing that he didn’t even get that far. Kind of that whole lame judged by 12 vs carried six saying.
TC is the only one that offered ways that it could be made worse. Sure, we can all assume one or two ways, primarily shooting a kid. But assuming what the officers knew at that time, does the risk calculus actually equal there being a high chance that it could be worse?
A lot of this goes back to what appears to me (through my SIGNIFICANT personal bias) of risk aversion. Just because it could make it worse, doesn’t mean it will. And it’s hard to see how anyone there thought there were lots of ways it could get worse since a likely assumption could’ve been that every victim inside is dead so the only way it’s getting worse is if the officer dies. Not that bad, considering.
I’ve never been shot at so I really don’t know. But I have walked up to a line outside “locked doors” so many fucking times that were never actually locked that I’ve started just walking past people and trying it myself. I’m not saying that I would’ve done that when the likelihood of rounds coming at me is high but I am saying that we should all probably take note of just how deadly that herd mentality can be. Only way to make this situation less shorty is by learning from it and as you said, taking a breath to think.
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You know - the other side of this is I do honestly believe it’s a deterrent as well. Ohio has been the first state to adopt this (that I know of). I’m interested to see how that goes.
I’d be preaching to the choir, but lots of these guys surrender / kill themselves when resistance arrives. There have been exceptions. But, anyway at this point I’ll be just repeating myself.
God Bless,
Brandon
If you haven't, you should read the Alerrt AAR -- given your work, you'd would appreciate it -- particularly the discussion of doors, lack of locking, etc. There is also a discussion of breaching that was noteworthy.
https://alerrt.org/
The link is on a scrolling header on the page, or in the research, publications drop down.
"And for a regular dude I’m maybe okay...but what I learned is if there’s a door, I’m going out it not in it"-Duke
"Just because a girl sleeps with her brother doesn't mean she's easy..."-Blues
I understand why but I hope it's not. I, and I think most of us, benefit from your perspective along with that of TGS, HCM and other LEOs. Literally everybody looks at this situation and says fuck me, somebody needed to do something. It's impossible not to. As TGS put it, it's your job (not you literally anymore but at the same time, in a different way, still you and every single one of us reading this thread) to take a dispassionate look at the facts and fucking learn from them. You've contributed to that and I hope you will continue to.
Not sure because it isn't our reality. I am on both sides of the fence. I know most teachers don't have my background or skill level. But for my skill level and personality, I would absolutely want to engage as soon as possible to end the threat. Other side of that is my students would have to be handed off to another teacher (we work in teams, our doors are 5 ft apart) or to leave my own students alone. There is no perfect answer. Throw in that my son goes to school in the place I teach, and ya. It will be really hard for me in a real world scenario not to secure my own son or at least try to neutralize the threat before anything could happen.