I read it as bukkake. I think I need to spend less time on the internet.Originally Posted by LittleLebowski
Anyone who expects the ammo situation to get better in 2021 has more optimism than I do.
I read it as bukkake. I think I need to spend less time on the internet.
Anyone who expects the ammo situation to get better in 2021 has more optimism than I do.
Here's an article on predictions from an industry mag: http://fmgpublications.ipaperus.com/...I0121/?page=32
Excuse the PDF copy and paste format.
Overall, 2021 holds
promise for all levels
of the firearms and
accessories industry. We
expect first quarter sales
to meet or exceed sales
in the same period last
year, both for firearms
and accessories, as the
new Congress and likely
a new White House
resident begin discussing
their intentions. All this,
of course, assumes no
more major shocks to the
supply-side.
At this time, we don’t
think the rest of 2021’s
sales will exceed 2020’s
record levels. Part of the
reason lies in the lack of
excess firearms inventory
that was present in early
2020 and, hopefully, lesser
social unrest pushing
demand higher. Likewise,
if ammunition supplies
remain low, to some
degree new firearm sales
will be discouraged.
COVID-19 related or
not, we expect sales of
all consumer products
to continue shifting
more toward online in
2021, so those firms with
better positioning online
will see improved sales
— both retailers and
manufacturers.
PURSUE REENGAGEMENT
One key point is, as
seen in sales runs in
previous years, many
new gun owners did
not become active
participants. Considering
the significant increase in
new gun owners in 2020,
longer-term stability and
sales growth can be found
in welcoming these new
owners, then encouraging
and helping them become
active participants.
Otherwise, their new
firearms will remain
in a closet. It’s up to all
of us to help these new
gun owners and ensure
they become an active
consumer/participant at
the range and in the store.
Please note we only
offer a short-term forecast
given all the political,
economic and social
uncertainly we face today.
If the House, Senate and
White House all become
blue, longer term sales —
even by late 2021 — are at
The two words cut off at the end are "severe risk." This is likely the most critical point of the article.
Last time we had a major election loss, about 2 years were required before availability and sales got back to normal. I do not expect this time to be any better.
Not many folks have enough primers to wait out another year. I know I don't.
I probably do but I don't like only having a thousand left for each size that I use. At that point I stop shooting until I can buy more. I think I'll make it thru but all kinds of things can happen in the next year to cause problems for reloaders. Primer manufactures are feeding their ammo companies and ammo has to be available again for awhile before the primers are sold as components to reloaders.
When primers do get back in stock at pre covid prices (or close) I've got the money earmarked and ready for 15K. If for some reason I can't use them I'll hit the local gun show and sell them at cost plus 10%.
My in home dealer is telling me that the local show is becoming somewhat of a swap meet with all kinds of items, including pistols that can't be found any place else. Of course you'll get jacked but that's how free markets (S&D) work.
Last edited by Borderland; 01-05-2021 at 08:40 PM.
In the P-F basket of deplorables.
I expect 2021 to be the same as 2020 on all counts.
"Gunfighting is a thinking man's game. So we might want to bring thinking back into it."-MDFA
Beware of my temper, and the dog that I've found...
Well, I guess I won't be buying any primers in 2021 either.
I'm seeing a lot more barter and trade in ammo and components on our regional (Tennessee) forums than I've ever seem before.
This makes sense to me. A lot of folks purchased and stocked back ammo the past few years when it was so readily available and inexpensive.
I'm sure many with a long history of handloading did the same with components, but handloaders are a much lesser number of folks.
I wish I had more components of course, but I'll be good for some time. Even so it's made me more focused on my range trips and I have a written plan before I head out the door (which I should be doing anyway).
As I am learning to cast I'll probably be more revolver focused these next few years. But primers will remain my main concern until this passes.
@Borderland and @BillSWPA make good points. But I think the political climate has changed even more dramatically and I can only hope that we will be able to still order and receive primers/components again when the demand lessens.
These are "interesting times".
I have supplies of ammo and components that were considered large in 2019, only thought fair now.
But this being a discouragingly high numbered birthday, the question may be whether I be able to use it up before I get too decrepit.
Code Name: JET STREAM
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