I’m not optimistic. We are seeing a groundswell of participation due to early and absentee voting, and both candidates are the beneficiary. I just think that Trump is divisive enough to get out more people against him than for him.
Trump
Biden
I’m not optimistic. We are seeing a groundswell of participation due to early and absentee voting, and both candidates are the beneficiary. I just think that Trump is divisive enough to get out more people against him than for him.
Ken
BBI: ...”you better not forget the safe word because shit's about to get weird”...
revchuck38: ...”mo' ammo is mo' betta' unless you're swimming or on fire.”
the fact that Biden is campaigning in TX and GA (TX just got bumped to a toss-up state) and Trump feels the need to campaign in IA, NE, and SC is telling.
The coming blue wave in all three branches will be a rape of epic proportions
The huge discrepancy between what the polls are revealing and the very obvious difference in enthusiasm (especially rally turn out) leaves me suspect of the polls. It's a total disconnect between the two, and if judged solely by what we're seeing in Trump's enthusiasm advantage, it's not even close. Additionally, there is plenty of backstory that the polls are not fully representing, for a variety of reasons, those who are going to vote for Trump.
My intuition is telling me Trump will emerge victorious, but at the same time I won't be shocked if the worst-case scenario is what we end up with for at least the next two years. It won't long before we know...
I have been watching this guy lately and he has been very encouraging about Trump's chances. His videos are long and involves a lot of polling data.
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCWu...8_4rVoDPt7FpNQ
We could isolate Russia totally from the world and maybe they could apply for membership after 2000 years.
We now know we are having a V-shaped recovery. Good economic performance favors Trump.
https://www.newsmax.com/us/kudlow-gd.../29/id/994324/
We have also now had three nights of unrest in Philadelphia: two nights of riots and a third night of smaller scale looting. The suburban voters who have to commute to work there are likely to rethink any plans to vote for Burisma Biden.
This is why I have genuine fear about a Biden/Harris win. While I know it would be bad for gun ownership and probably my wallet, I have bigger fears.
If there is a Democrat sweep of both houses of Congress and the Presidency the Radical Left, in particular ANTIFA, BLM, Socialists, et al will see this as an affirmation of their methods and tactics and rather than see a reduction in their activities after the election, we will see it ramp up to levels we have not seen before. Going forward there will be an impetus to rage/loot/pillage every single time something doesn't go their way, as can be seen in Philly now. The far Left members of the Party will feel they have a voter imperative to expand entitlements and weaken police forces throughout the country since that is what we voted for. There is only so much tax base available in the US and significantly increasing our entitlement spending (shoveling money at people) without reducing spending elsewhere or SIGNIFICANTLY increasing our taxes will require astronomical borrowing and the best way for a Sovereign country to "repay" debt is to inflate it away (intentionally or unintentionally).
So we have weak police forces, spiraling inflation and politically empowered gangs running around enforcing their particular version of justice. So, at best, we have a new Reconstruction era, at worst we have an American Weimar Republic.
What happens when everyone gets fed up and decides that it has to be stopped?
Who or what rises to stop it/fill the power vacuum?
Ideally, Trump gets re-elected and Republicans pick up seats in Congress. The Left rages for a little while but those in power (on both sides), realize that tacitly approving political violence is a losing proposition and it is quashed and we go back to "normal" politics. Otherwise, buckle up.
I really don't know, but picked Biden based on recent polling. Although, I don't think the polling is accurate enough to say it will the "double digit" victory they show, I think it likely indicates it's unlikely Trump will win.
Two things that could be interesting:
1- How long will it take to actually resolve the election results? Remember the presidential race wasn't resolved until December 12, 2000. Both sides this time have stated there is a "need" for a quick resolution, even going so far as saying the public needs to know on election day. So how will each side behave if some of the states are very close, and there is a perceived need/justification for recounts, and the associated legal battles.
2- What will happen in the Senate? Far too many are devoting there attention to the White House (and I'm somewhat guilty of that myself), but I think the big issue is the Senate. A Trump win, with a Democratic majority in the Senate, or a Biden win, with a Republican majority in the Senate, could make the next two years very "interesting."
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"Whom shall I send, and who will go for us?" Then I said, "Here I am. Send me." - Isaiah 6:8
I fear a blue wave followed by packing the court over time...
...and a long time before a Republican re-balance. Maybe too long.
There's nothing civil about this war.
Im doing a redo on my original post and all its hesitancy. Im going all in and calling popular vote as well as electoral college.
I'll wager you a PF dollar™ 😎
The lunatics are running the asylum