This is a good point to note that during Gulf War I the Iraqi Air Force predominantly fled - to Iran. I doubt the IRIAF will give up so easily. A motivated enemy tends to make the most of the tools they have.
Its a calculated fact we’d defeat them militarily- eventually. I don’t agree with the notion it’d be an automatic curb stomp.
The US public has long memories. The Hostage Crisis is still in the memories of many a voter. Between that mess and all the nasty half measures in the ME since the American Public is a lot more supportive of an Iranian invasion then you’d suspect. Naturally the media is wailing hysterics, but among ordinary folk they’re quite OK with an Iranian campaign. So long as it’s fought decisively and well.
The Minority Marksman.
"When you meet a swordsman, draw your sword: Do not recite poetry to one who is not a poet."
-a Ch'an Buddhist axiom.
My uneducated opinion is that Iran's leaders know that our forces can neutralize theirs. They know that then they would face more threat from Israel. We would have no reason to fight Iran on the ground. Iran also is aware that their nuclear research sites including those underground would be destroyed. Trump's instability scares them and confuses their planning because he is not playing by the rules.
I have to agree with all of that.
Not only did we break Iraq, it cost the US taxpayer a lot of money, not to mention the people that came home in a box or have disabilities associated with combat there. Those people aren't enjoying any of the dividends from US corporations like Halliburton which made 40 billion to 'rebuild' Iraq. Some would say we broke Iraq so we could fix it. Dick Cheney comes to mind here. The only problem there is we never fixed anything but it looks like we're still trying.
Edit. I worked with some Iraqis and Iranians who left the country before the shit storm.
Last edited by Borderland; 01-06-2020 at 02:35 PM.
In the P-F basket of deplorables.
In the P-F basket of deplorables.
Looks like we are officially leaving Iraq.
http://news.trust.org/item/20200106193750-gbx3f
My evaluation is that despite what actions you call serious resistance, Lee spoke against it, the states stayed part of the Union, the slaves stayed free. Thus, the resistance didn’t accomplish anything as far as the result. You may claim the Jim Crow actions were successful resistance but I will pass on that analysis. Similarly for Germany and Japan whatever one calls serious resistance, the Nazi state was done as was the Imperial military in Japan. By the 50’s both were integrated back into normal international society.
They didn’t fall apart as Iraq did.