Hurricane Season 2019

[StraitR]

8pm Update: No change in the projected path. It has strengthened from 115mph sustained winds to 125mph sustained, which was projected. Unfortunately, it's sped back up, from 9mph to 10mph. As much as I hate slow movers, the fact that it's been slowing is what will allow it to turn sooner, due to timing a gap in two High pressure systems moving across the country. If it speeds up, the gap wont have moved in and Dorian will blast straight into the state. If it slows, it might be able to shoot the gap between those two High pressure systems and turn early enough to miss landfall completely.

[Drang]

In the meantime, there's a new disturbance forming off the African coast.
Atlantic 2-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
40% chance of cyclone formation in the next five days, but who knows after that?

[StraitR]

Weather Channel Hurricane Central reporting Dorian as Cat 4 as of 8:30pm. That's over 24 hours earlier than current NOAA.NHC projections. Yuck.

[ragnar_d]

I don't begrudge people having generators, but I wish they'd get the gas for them a couple of weeks out. It's no fun trying to evacuate when you can't find gas for your car because the folks with generators have been buying all their gas at the last minute.

A rotation system is where it’s at. I keep seven cans (goal is 12, you’ll see why in a minute) and rotate them out and refill them every 60-90 days. Eventual plan is to get 5 more “preban” blitz cans and have an easy dozen. Gives me an easy 60 gallon fuel supply that’s never older than 12 months. Combine that with a more fuel efficient inverter generator and I’ll be pretty well.

I did have to go fill up a couple cans this morning because I’d gotten a bit lazy and out of sync. Whoops.


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[StraitR]

Friday night drop from Tropical Tidbits. Definitely the best source of digestible storm info.

[Drang]

https://twitter.com/@twitter/status/1167590283531444224

Edit: I'm not seeing the tweet, anyone else?

[StraitR]

Edit: I'm not seeing the tweet, anyone else?

I see it.

[StraitR]

11pm update: Come on baby, TURN!!! The weakening part is nice too.

[Hambo]

Friday night drop from Tropical Tidbits. Definitely the best source of digestible storm info.

+1 on that. I used to read Dr. Jeff Masters (wunderground/cat6) but he's almost as bad as the hyperventilating local weather dorks. Levi's blog is straight up fact without the drama.

[jwperry]

I am real tired of these fuckin storms hitting when I’m out of the state but all the shit I care about is stuck there. My wife is 8.5 months pregnant so she can’t evacuate, and although the tracks are showing that Miami-Dade probably won’t get completely blasted, I’d feel a lot better if I was home.

If she can make it across alligator Alley, have her go to Ft Myers. Well out of the worse of all the issues and not a big evacuation point because everyone is heading north.
Should only be a 2.5-3 hour drive with stops for bathroom breaks in the middle.

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