Originally Posted by
That Guy
Once upon a time a person I knew asked me for advice. Seems a person they knew was either married to or dating a woman who's ex was getting out of prison soon. Said ex had taken the view that the woman, and her child, were the property of the ex, and when he was released from prison the new guy had better be gone.
I don't think there is a huge leap from that situation to a door getting kicked in.
(And no, I don't know how the story ended.)
There was the older gentleman who got targeted for his gun collection. Thieves forced their way in his home and immediately attacked him. (This story I do know the end of, as it made the local news. One thief shot, the others ran away.)
And then there was this farm house, the farmer got ahold of his shotgun after being pepper sprayed in his bed... That one made the news, too. I don't think he hit anyone, though.
The more I think about it, the more examples of home invasions where at least one of the residents was immediately attacked come to mind. The odds may be low, but I don't think they're nearly as low as you claim. Of course, I don't live in the U.S., so... Your chances may vary?