Our local PD's analyst estimates 14% of our city's population is an addict. Going with that number for the sake of discussion would mean we have 7000 addicts. We had over 1300 overdoses last year, with a hundred or more of those being fatal. Not great odds for the addict, and that's just looking at one year. This year we'll have the same base of addicts but another 1500-2000 overdoses.
When he says addict I'm assuming he's meaning all drugs, although heroin is the bulk of that, and pretty much all of the overdoses. And some of those overdoses are from people who have overdosed multiple times so that skews the numbers. There was a woman on the news yesterday in some drug court success story who supposedly overdosed nine times. Whatever the exact rates are, it's clear from even looking at rough numbers that for addicts it's almost more of when will they overdose and not if.