I suspect the main factors at play are man-hours of handling firearms and losing the fight against complacency.
If I drive 15,000 miles a year, I'm more likely to crash than someone who drives 500 miles a year, even if I'm a better driver. So, time on the gun actively handling it matters.
If I've done the same thing 1000 times and it hasn't hurt me, my lizard brain tells me that the 1001 time won't either. It's why rote performance and forcing ourselves to pay attention are both so important.
If this tracks aviation, it is slightly different. For pilots flying below a threshold amount of 300-400 hours, which is related to currency, lower time pilots have a higher accident rate, despite flying fewer hours. At some point beyond that threshold amount, more hours means more exposure in the air, and a higher risk. I bet it is similar with drivers.
Likes pretty much everything in every caliber.
I agree with the above, but I also meant that someone who has practiced pulling a DA trigger 10,000 times has somewhat defeated the heavy trigger pull making him conscious of trigger movement.
Scott
Only Hits Count - The Faster the Hit the more it Counts!!!!!!; DELIVER THE SHOT!
Stephen Hillier - "An amateur practices until he can do it right, a professional practices until he can't do it wrong."
So........I haven't gone back and done any extensive analysis of these reports from Front Sight. But if SFA, DA/SA, and SAO are fairly equally represented in NDs, isn't that totally out of proportion to how heavily those guns are represented in classes? Generally there are many more SFA than any of the other action types, though I'm sure that has changed some over time.
Technical excellence supports tactical preparedness
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If I'm 1/2 as likely as a new driver to crash in any given mile but drive 10 times as many miles a year, I'm still more likely to have a crash in that year.
Yup. I elected to not get that deep into it, but with a lot of these stats we know the numerator without knowing the denominator.